The board · 16 slates · 22 markets

The Score is our confidence. Settle is what happened. Record is your side.

Editor's pick

Will Carole Radziwill be billed as a full-time Housewife (not Friend Of) when RHONY Season 16 premieres Sep 8, 2026?

Updated · Updated as of September 4, 2026

Our confidence in this call — not a price, and not odds.

Bravo cast lists her among Housewives; THR friend→FT framing — still settle on premiere billing ~Sep 8.

92%

Take yes or no
Yes
No

Take Yes or No. Your side sits on Record.

How this settles · YES if premiere billing/credits list her as a full-time Housewife (not Friend Of / guest); NO otherwise.

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2 published scores. This number is our Confidence Score, not a tape.

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What we are watching. Scores first.

Reality TV · Monday, August 31 · 3 markets

Love Island USA Season 8 reunion

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Reality TV · Thursday, August 27 · 1 market

Big Brother 28 The 1000th episode

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Reality TV · Thursday, October 1 · 2 markets

Big Brother 28 The finale

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Yes
No

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Our confidence in this call — not a price, and not odds. · Updated as of September 4, 2026

How this settles · Winner named on the BB28 finale · CBS

True Crime · This deliberation · 1 market

Lindsay Clancy The trial

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True Crime · Tuesday, October 13 · 1 market

Tupac / Keffe D Sentencing

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Reality TV · Tuesday, September 8 · 1 market

RHONY Season 16 premiere

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Celebrity · By October 31 · 2 markets

Dorit and PK Divorce / Encino house

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Our confidence in this call — not a price, and not odds. · Updated as of September 4, 2026

How this settles · YES if an active public for-sale listing URL/page for that Encino marital residence is live on…

Awards · Monday, September 14 · 2 markets

78th Primetime Emmys Comedy

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Awards · Sunday, September 27 · 1 market

2026 MTV VMAs Artist of the Year

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Celebrity · By October 1 · 1 market

Taylor Swift Wedding photos

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Reality TV · By November 1 · 2 markets

RHOSLC Divorce petitions

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Reality TV · By October 31 · 1 market

RHONJ Season 15 · cast

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No

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Our confidence in this call — not a price, and not odds. · Updated as of September 4, 2026

How this settles · YES if Bravo Daily Dish, Bravo.com official cast announcement, or official Bravo cast photos…

Reality TV · By December 31 · 1 market

RHONJ Season 15 · premiere

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Reality TV · By December 31 · 1 market

RHOBH Season 16 · premiere

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Beauty · September 3, 2026 · 1 market

POV Beauty Sephora U.S.

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PVBeauty

Settled YES

Settled — side is locked
Yes
No

Settled — taking a side is closed. See OPEN markets

Our confidence in this call — not a price, and not odds. · Updated as of September 4, 2026

Settled. The record stands next to the score we published.

How it settled · YES if official Sephora or brand announce, or a verifiable Sephora US product page / in-store…

Beauty · September 30, 2026 · 1 market

rhode Sephora Europe

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